Saturday, July 9, 2011

GUIDE TO DEBUNKING MAN MADE GLOBAL WARMING


EVERYMAN’S GUIDE TO DEBUNKING MAN MADE GLOBAL WARMING
Man made global warming is a myth. I know this because I used to believe it was true.
As an airline pilot I felt a special guilt at the huge quantity of burned jet fuel I was personally depositing in the upper atmosphere. So watching the world’s carbon dioxide and temperature increase to unprecedented levels made me want to learn more about the damage I was causing.
I examined all the raw data and graphs I could get my hands on such as Ice core and sediment analysis which gives millions of years of comparative climate data. Also historical temperature and other significant weather records. I also studied many different theories of the cause of ice ages.
It didn’t take long to realize the whole global warming movement is a scam based on very selective data by a few committed scientists and spread by a willing political movement to an alarmed public. This is how the climate scientists do it.
Use very short sections of graphs to give the impression of disastrous temperature trends and then extend them into the future.
Massage existing data by adjusting the past down and the present up to create false warming.
Systematically eliminate rural temperature measuring stations in favor of urban centers or airports which are hotter.
Blur the difference between climate (very long term trends), weather (changing seasons, daily or short term variations) and the environment. (Clean air, water, condition of the land and all who live on it)
This is what they are not telling you.
Climate change is not a new phenomenon. The climate is always changing but it’s difficult to notice as a human lifetime is barely a point on a climate trend graph. Climate change is not a very hot day or a flood or a tornado. That’s weather.
The earth cycles through 2 main periods. Glacial (ice age) or interglacial (between ice ages). We are now at the end of an interglacial period and about to plunge into another ice age. That is, within the next two thousand years. A very short time in climate terms.
Even events like volcanic eruptions or major asteroid strikes do not change the main glacial, interglacial pattern. They merely put a blip on the graph. Mans actual influence on climate is nil. We cannot even alter the weather. The main driver of climate change is the sun and the earths position relative to it. Also earth precession, tilt and wobble.
There have been more than 8 major ice ages in the last million years. The pattern is always the same. The earth descends rapidly into an glacial age and emerges very slowly from it. Carbon Dioxide (co2) follows the temperature trend by a few thousand years. It never leads it.
We are at a very low value for co2 in historic climate terms. In fact it was almost ten times higher when dinosaurs ruled the earth. Therefore the tipping point scenario and runaway heating is another myth. In fact the rate of heating in the “hottest decade ever” 90’s was exactly the same as the other hot periods in the 20th century. No increasing trend at all.
Everyone should strive for clean unpolluted air and water. We need to husband our finite resources and protect the land and oceans. But that is an environmental issue and nothing to do with global warming. Expensive government plans for cutting co2 emissions will achieve nothing to control climate, weather or even help the environment. It is simply another way to achieve a more common type of control – Political power and money.

Sunday, June 26, 2011

SALT MEADOW- Sands Point, New York

          A SHORT HISTORY OF SALT MEADOW
SALT MEADOW is one of the very few remaining homes from the Quaker farming era in Sands Point. It has been completely renovated with emphasis on retaining the historic ambiance of the structure. The estate has been returned to its farming roots with the establishment of a productive Concord vineyard.
In 1846, Edward W Mott, a 21 year old Quaker farmer married his 18 year old bride, Deborah Burtis. Edward’s father, Leonard Mott built them a home on a low hill near his own farmhouse. Both homes were on the edge of a “salt meadow”, a free flowing tidal estuary and close to a sandy beach on Long Island Sound.
It was built by Quaker craftsmen using an archaic “scribe method” to mark their hand cut pegged joints. The farmhouse copied the popular Greek Revival Style. It had no lighting or electricity but boasted a large cooking hearth in the kitchen. It was valued at 9000 USD, a fair sum in 1846.
In the 1850 national census, Edward and Deborah are recorded as living in the home with an infant daughter, Elizabeth and 4 workers, 2 of whom are noted as black. One of these black workers, 12 year old Jacob Eto, will later become a sergeant in the Union Army during the civil war. This is not surprising as the Quakers were very involved in the Underground Railroad. He probably saw escaped southern slaves being hidden on the farms and later smuggled out by boat. In fact, Salt Meadow has a hidden stone cellar.( It has not yet been found by the current owners). Jacob Eto is buried in a military cemetery in Brooklyn.
Elizabeth Mott never married and sold the farm in 1900. It was one of many small parcels of land being bought up to make a large country estate for William Guggenheim. He was the first of the Guggenheim sons to buy land in Sands Point. Salt Meadow was already 60 years old so he built himself an Italian style mansion in 1910. His brothers would later buy larger estates in the area and build palatial homes. In the First World War, William donated all the Black Walnut trees on his 155 acre estate for military aircraft propellers.
In 1929, his widow Aimee Guggenheim sold Salt Meadow to William Averill Harriman, a statesman who would negotiate American war aid personally with Stalin in the 2nd World War. He would also later serve as New York governor.
He immediately began a large renovation which incorporated the original structure into a larger Colonial Style dwelling. It was used for guests and became the residence of his (second) Mother in Law. She entertained many of the personalities and artists of the day in her bedroom as she was in poor health. Two of the reputed guests are ERTE and Al Capone who spent the night.
Averill Harriman sold off small pieces of his 155 acre estate to friends. Salt Meadow was sold off in the 1940’s with 3 acres of ground. It passed through many private hands and eventually became neglected. The origins of the home were long forgotten.
In 2004, it was bought in derelict condition by Robert Schapiro, an airline pilot and his wife Arlene Getz, a journalist. They moved in with 1 toilet and 1 cold water tap operating. They restored the home and grounds for 5 years, taking care to preserve any items of historical interest. The home now operates like any modern structure but is dotted with reminders of its rich past.
The original post and beam structure has been exposed in places to reveal the 1846 builders markings and joints. The Dining room has exposed wooden beams and a unique art neauveau fireplace from 1930 made of nickel. It was reputedly designed by ERTE.
The original cooking hearth in the kitchen was excavated from behind a wall and is again being used for heating. The formal lounge has the original exquisite 1840 era marble fireplace surround.
Rob Schapiro also did extensive research to try uncover the full history of Salt Meadow. Historic documents are on display in the entry hall. Also on display are artifacts from the various periods. Most were recovered from a huge glacial erratic rock close to the home. The rock was deposited by the receding glaciers of the last ice age. The 1850 Quaker farmers used a crevice in the rock as a dump for unwanted items such as old oil lamps, bottles, cutlery, canning jars and flatware. The crevice silted up in time and the rock became covered with heavy vegetation. The items were discovered and recovered in 2005 and a selection is also on display in the entry hall. They provide a time capsule to daily life on a pre civil war  farm. The rock continues to spit out small items such as a belt buckle and blue glass beads in 2010.
A  vineyard was planted in 2005 in an old horse paddock. It has 170  Concord vines in 13 rows and a drip irrigation system. It is now producing a huge quantity of very tasty fruit, most of which is pressed by foot into juice and wine by enthusiastic helpers. It’s hard to believe Manhattan is just 30 minutes away.

STUCK MIKE

STUCK MIKE AND OTHER STORIES
A popular story on TV and radio channels today is the accidental transmission of a vicious monolog by a Southwest pilot about his cabin crew.
This is not as unusual as one might think. In my 34 year flying career, I have often heard snippets of private conversation over the airwaves. All it takes is some inadvertent pressure by the pilot on the control column transmit trigger or leaning on one of the many radio selector boxes.
What is not asked in the media is why the controller was unable to successfully warn the gabby pilot he was on the air. The answer to that question has much more serious consequences than an anti gay rant.
In the main frequency range used for air traffic control (VHF), only one radio set can transmit at a time. All the other transmissions are blocked out until the first radio ceases to transmit. This is amazing when you realize dozens of aircraft may be controlled and need to respond on one frequency. If you listen to tapes of air traffic control at any busy airport, you can periodically hear a loud humming noise instead of speech. This is someone trying to talk while another radio is still transmitting. It is called a double transmission or someone is “stepped on” or “blocked” and the whole previous instruction will have to be repeated. Only a high level of radio discipline by ATC and pilots keeps the unwieldy system functioning.
Why does this matter to anyone? Because sometimes a vital instruction or clearance may be lost without anyone realizing a transmission was stepped on. This was the case in the Tenerife disaster where two Boeing 747’s collided on the runway in foggy conditions. There is evidence that vital information about one aircrafts position was lost in a dual transmission and was never repeated. This led the other pilots to believe the runway was clear and they began their take off roll while the first jet was still taxiing on the runway.
I have listened to the ATC tapes of the recent Egyptair / Lufthansa incident at JFK airport. Egyptair made an unauthorized runway incursion forcing the Lufthansa to reject their take off. The ultimate responsibility always rests with the pilots but the ATC instructions to the Egyptair were frequently blocked by other transmissions. This can cause pilots whose first language might not be English to misunderstand or try to interpret their clearance and may have contributed to the near disaster.
There is technical equipment available which can solve the signal blocking problem but it is deemed an unnecessary expense as the system generally works well without it. I wonder if the passengers on the doomed Tenerife jumbos or the offended Southwest cabin staff would agree?